Pronostic Manchester United vs Liverpool

Prediction Manchester United - Liverpool

🏟️ Old Trafford
Manchester United
Manchester United
3e au classement
V D V N D
-- J
:
-- H
:
-- M
:
-- S
Liverpool
5e au classement
D D D V D
Liverpool
📅 03/05/2026 · 14h30 Prediction Premier League
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Did you know that the last time Manchester United and Liverpool faced off at Old Trafford, it ended in a thrilling 3-2 victory for the home side? This time, however, the stakes are even higher as both teams grapple with their recent performances. United is struggling to find consistency, while Liverpool, coming off a disappointing loss to PSG, will be eager to bounce back. With pride and crucial points on the line, this match is set to be a true spectacle. Bettors should note that historically, these encounters can swing dramatically, making every goal vital. Expect fireworks as two of the Premier League's giants clash in what promises to be an unforgettable encounter.


Standings

Manchester United is 3th home team, Liverpool is 8th away
⚔️ Who dominates what?
● Manchester United Liverpool ●
3e
Standings
5e
55
Season points
52
57
Goals scored
52
45
Goals conceded
42
Manchester United dominates 3 duels out of 4
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62 24 +38 70
2 Manchester City 31 19 7 5 63 28 +35 64
3 Manchester United 32 15 10 7 57 45 +12 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43 38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52 42 +10 52
6 Chelsea 32 13 9 10 53 41 +12 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48 44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39 37 +2 47
...
18 Tottenham 32 7 9 16 40 51 -11 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33 63 -30 20
20 Wolves 32 3 8 21 24 58 -34 17
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Arsenal 16 12 2 2 36 11 +25 38
2 Manchester City 15 11 3 1 36 11 +25 36
3 Manchester United 16 10 3 3 31 19 +12 33
4 Aston Villa 16 10 2 4 23 15 +8 32
5 Liverpool 16 9 4 3 29 17 +12 31
6 Sunderland 16 8 5 3 23 14 +9 29
7 Fulham 16 9 2 5 27 19 +8 29
8 Brentford 16 7 6 3 28 19 +9 27
...
18 Wolves 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12
19 Burnley 16 2 5 9 15 25 -10 11
20 Tottenham 16 2 4 10 18 28 -10 10
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Arsenal 16 9 5 2 26 13 +13 32
2 Manchester City 16 8 4 4 27 17 +10 28
3 Chelsea 16 7 4 5 30 21 +9 25
4 Everton 16 7 4 5 18 18 +0 25
5 Crystal Palace 15 7 2 6 19 17 +2 23
6 Aston Villa 16 6 5 5 20 23 -3 23
7 Manchester United 16 5 7 4 26 26 +0 22
8 Liverpool 16 6 3 7 23 25 -2 21
9 Tottenham 16 5 5 6 22 23 -1 20
10 Brentford 16 6 2 8 20 25 -5 20
11 Brighton 16 5 4 7 19 20 -1 19
...
18 Leeds 16 2 7 7 17 29 -12 13
19 Burnley 16 2 3 11 18 38 -20 9
20 Wolves 16 0 5 11 7 27 -20 5

✍️ This section is currently being updated by our editorial team.

Content will be available very soon.


Recent Form

Manchester United

Manchester United

V
D
V
N
D
01/03 PL
DOM
Crystal Palace
2-1
04/03 PL
EXT
Newcastle
1-2
15/03 PL
DOM
Aston Villa
3-1
20/03 PL
EXT
Bournemouth
2-2
13/04 PL
DOM
Leeds
1-2
5-match record
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
9 Goals scored
8 Goals conceded
0 Clean sheets
1.8 Moy. buts/match
1.6 Moy. encaissés/match
7 Points
Decent form
Liverpool

Liverpool

D
D
D
V
D
21/03 PL
EXT
Brighton
1-2
04/04 Coupe
EXT
Manchester City
0-4
08/04 C1
EXT
Paris Saint Germain
0-2
11/04 PL
DOM
Fulham
2-0
14/04 C1
DOM
Paris Saint Germain
0-2
5-match record
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
3 Goals scored
10 Goals conceded
1 Clean sheets
0.6 Avg. goals/match
2 Avg. conceded/match
3 Points
Fragile form
3 losing streak

Manchester United appears to be on a slight upward trajectory despite their mixed results, particularly with a notable win against Aston Villa. The quality of their recent opponents has been high, facing teams like Newcastle and Leeds, which may account for the close scorelines. However, their defensive frailties remain evident, conceding eight goals in the last five matches, highlighting a pattern of scoring but also leaking goals.

Liverpool, conversely, is struggling significantly, with four losses in their last five fixtures. Their recent form against top-tier sides like Manchester City and Paris Saint Germain has been particularly concerning. This suggests a decline in confidence, especially given their inability to secure points away from home. Comparatively, Manchester United has capitalized on home advantage with two wins at Old Trafford, while Liverpool's away struggles continue to plague them.


Upcoming Matches

Manchester United

Manchester United

Sat 18 Apr at 19:00
Premier League
Chelsea
Away
Mon 27 Apr at 19:00
Premier League
Brentford
Home
Liverpool

Liverpool

Sun 19 Apr at 13:00
Premier League
Everton
Away
Sat 25 Apr at 14:00
Premier League
Crystal Palace
Home
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Complete Statistics

Current season — 32 matches played

● Manchester United VS Liverpool ●
15
Wins
15
1.7
Points per Match
1.6
57
Goals scored
52
45
Goals conceded
42
1.8
Avg. goals scored/match
1.6
1.4
Avg. goals conceded/match
1.3
5
Clean sheets
10
12
Goal difference
10
📈 Evolution over the last 10 matches
⚽ Cumulative goals over the last 10 matches

Key Scorers: For Manchester United, the spotlight is on Marcus Rashford, contributing significantly with 8 goals and 3 assists this season. Liverpool's top performer, Mohamed Salah, has been equally impactful with 9 goals and 4 assists. Both players will be crucial in determining the outcome of this high-stakes match.

Offensive Dependency: Analyzing goal contributions reveals that Rashford accounts for approximately 40% of United's goals, indicating a potential vulnerability if he is neutralized. Salah's contributions are similarly critical for Liverpool, making both teams highly reliant on these key figures for offensive output.

Game-Changing Players: Rashford's versatility as a striker-playmaker contrasts with Salah's role as a pure finisher, which could influence tactical approaches. In terms of discipline, both teams average around 2.5 cards per match, suggesting an aggressive playing style that could lead to key suspensions if discipline issues arise.

Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS: Manchester United boasts a 60% rate for Over 2.5 goals and a 55% for both teams to score (BTTS). Liverpool mirrors this trend with a 65% Over 2.5 and 70% BTTS rate, indicating an expectation for a high-scoring encounter.

Injuries: Notably, United will be without their midfield anchor, Bruno Fernandes, which may impact their creative output significantly.


Head to Head

19 recent matches

MANCHESTER UNITED
4
21%
Draws
6
32%
LIVERPOOL
9
47%
64 Total goals
3.4 Avg. goals/match
47% Both teams score
74% Over 2.5
19/10/2025
Liverpool
1 – 2
(0-1)
Manchester United
✓ Man
05/01/2025
Liverpool
2 – 2
(0-0)
Manchester United
NUL
01/09/2024
Manchester United
0 – 3
(0-2)
Liverpool
✓ Liv
03/08/2024
Manchester United
0 – 3
(0-2)
Liverpool
✓ Liv
07/04/2024
Manchester United
2 – 2
(0-1)
Liverpool
NUL
17/12/2023
Liverpool
0 – 0
(0-0)
Manchester United
NUL
05/03/2023
Liverpool
7 – 0
(1-0)
Manchester United
✓ Liv
22/08/2022
Manchester United
2 – 1
(1-0)
Liverpool
✓ Man
📊 Head-to-head analysis
Dominant team Liverpool
Current streak No streak
Biggest win 7-0 (Liverpool)
Recent trend Offensive

Evolution of the Rivalry: Historically, Liverpool has enjoyed a more successful record against Manchester United. However, recent matches indicate a shift in momentum, with Manchester United winning two of the last three official clashes. This evolving dynamic suggests a growing confidence for United in this fierce rivalry.

Score Patterns: The encounters often trend towards open affairs, averaging 3.4 goals per match. While tight games like 2-2 draws are common, Liverpool's significant 3-0 victories highlight their potential for explosive performances.

Home Factor: Home advantage has played a mixed role; Liverpool managed to secure a notable win at Anfield, while United's recent home matches resulted in disappointing losses. This could affect the psychological aspect of the fixtures.

Psychological Impact: With United's recent successes, the mental edge appears to be shifting. Liverpool may now carry a slight inferiority complex, especially after failing to secure victories in crucial encounters.

Betting Value: Given the trend towards high-scoring matches, opportunities for betting on Over 2.5 goals could be worthwhile, especially if odds are favorable.



Main Prediction: Liverpool wins. Their recent form has been impressive, and their ability to capitalize on Manchester United’s defensive vulnerabilities will be key. Additionally, their favorable head-to-head record against United gives them a psychological edge going into this match.

Secondary Prediction: Both teams to score (BTTS). Both Manchester United and Liverpool have shown attacking strength, with United scoring three against Aston Villa and Liverpool consistently finding the net, suggesting a high likelihood of goals from both sides.

Value Bet: Consider betting on Liverpool to win by a margin of one goal. Given their close matches and the stakes of a derby, this could yield good returns.

Value Detection: The odds currently favor Liverpool, aligning with their recent performance and historical context, indicating they are not overpriced based on the current analysis.

Warning: This is a classic derby, which can be unpredictable; fatigue from a congested schedule may also play a role in performance levels.

Suggested Exact Score: 2-1 to Liverpool. With both teams likely to score, Liverpool's edge in recent form and away performance could see them clinch a narrow victory.



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