Pronostic Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace

Prediction Bournemouth - Crystal Palace

🏟️ Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
11e au classement
N N N N V
-- J
:
-- H
:
-- M
:
-- S
Crystal Palace
13e au classement
V N N V V
Crystal Palace
📅 02/05/2026 · 14h00 Prediction Premier League
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Did you know that Bournemouth has only lost once at home to Crystal Palace in their last five encounters? This intriguing mid-table clash sees Bournemouth, positioned 11th with 45 points, facing a Crystal Palace side just three points behind them in 13th place. The stakes are high as both teams look to secure vital points to maintain their upper mid-table status and push for a stronger finish to the season. Bournemouth, having not played recently, might feel the pressure to perform, while Crystal Palace comes in with fresh momentum after their recent wins. This match promises excitement, particularly for bettors looking to capitalize on the contrasting form and home advantage.


Standings

Bournemouth is 10th home team, Crystal Palace is 5th away
⚔️ Who dominates what?
● Bournemouth Crystal Palace ●
11e
Standings
13e
45
Season points
42
48
Goals scored
35
49
Goals conceded
36
Bournemouth dominates 3 duels out of 4
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62 24 +38 70
2 Manchester City 31 19 7 5 63 28 +35 64
3 Manchester United 32 15 10 7 57 45 +12 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43 38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52 42 +10 52
...
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39 37 +2 47
9 Brighton 32 12 10 10 43 37 +6 46
10 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33 36 -3 46
11 Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48 49 -1 45
12 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43 46 -3 44
13 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35 36 -1 42
14 Newcastle 32 12 6 14 45 47 -2 42
15 Leeds 32 8 12 12 39 49 -10 36
16 Nottingham Forest 32 8 9 15 32 44 -12 33
...
18 Tottenham 32 7 9 16 40 51 -11 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33 63 -30 20
20 Wolves 32 3 8 21 24 58 -34 17
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Arsenal 16 12 2 2 36 11 +25 38
2 Manchester City 15 11 3 1 36 11 +25 36
3 Manchester United 16 10 3 3 31 19 +12 33
4 Aston Villa 16 10 2 4 23 15 +8 32
5 Liverpool 16 9 4 3 29 17 +12 31
...
7 Fulham 16 9 2 5 27 19 +8 29
8 Brentford 16 7 6 3 28 19 +9 27
9 Brighton 16 7 6 3 24 17 +7 27
10 Bournemouth 16 6 8 2 23 17 +6 26
11 Newcastle 16 8 2 6 29 26 +3 26
12 Chelsea 16 6 5 5 23 20 +3 23
13 Leeds 16 6 5 5 22 20 +2 23
14 Everton 16 6 4 6 21 19 +2 22
15 Crystal Palace 16 4 7 5 16 19 -3 19
16 West Ham 16 4 4 8 22 28 -6 16
17 Nottingham Forest 16 3 6 7 14 20 -6 15
18 Wolves 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12
19 Burnley 16 2 5 9 15 25 -10 11
20 Tottenham 16 2 4 10 18 28 -10 10
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Arsenal 16 9 5 2 26 13 +13 32
2 Manchester City 16 8 4 4 27 17 +10 28
3 Chelsea 16 7 4 5 30 21 +9 25
4 Everton 16 7 4 5 18 18 +0 25
5 Crystal Palace 15 7 2 6 19 17 +2 23
6 Aston Villa 16 6 5 5 20 23 -3 23
7 Manchester United 16 5 7 4 26 26 +0 22
8 Liverpool 16 6 3 7 23 25 -2 21
9 Tottenham 16 5 5 6 22 23 -1 20
10 Brentford 16 6 2 8 20 25 -5 20
11 Brighton 16 5 4 7 19 20 -1 19
12 Bournemouth 16 4 7 5 25 32 -7 19
13 Nottingham Forest 16 5 3 8 18 24 -6 18
14 Sunderland 16 4 5 7 10 22 -12 17
15 Newcastle 16 4 4 8 16 21 -5 16
...
18 Leeds 16 2 7 7 17 29 -12 13
19 Burnley 16 2 3 11 18 38 -20 9
20 Wolves 16 0 5 11 7 27 -20 5

Bournemouth and Crystal Palace find themselves in a crucial matchup, with a significant points gap suggesting a direct battle for mid-table security. Bournemouth’s home form has been decent, making them a potential favourite, while Palace’s away struggles could play into the Cherries' hands. With both teams aiming to distance themselves from the relegation zone, this clash is pivotal for momentum as they look to secure vital points. Recent performances indicate Bournemouth might have the upper hand, but Palace's ability to upset on the road keeps them as a live outsider. Expect a tightly contested affair.


Recent Form

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

N
N
N
N
V
28/02 PL
DOM
Sunderland
1-1
03/03 PL
DOM
Brentford
0-0
14/03 PL
EXT
Burnley
0-0
20/03 PL
DOM
Manchester United
2-2
11/04 PL
EXT
Arsenal
2-1
5-match record
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
5 Goals scored
4 Goals conceded
2 Clean sheets
1 Moy. buts/match
0.8 Moy. encaissés/match
7 Points
Decent form
4 draw streak
Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

N
V
V
15/03 PL
DOM
Leeds
0-0
09/04 C4
DOM
Fiorentina
3-0
12/04 PL
DOM
Newcastle
2-1
5-match record
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
2 Clean sheets
1.7 Avg. goals/match
0.3 Avg. conceded/match
7 Points
Decent form

Crystal Palace is clearly riding a wave of momentum, having secured three consecutive victories, including a notable win against Newcastle, a top-five side. This recent run demonstrates not only their attacking prowess—scoring seven goals in their last four matches—but also a solid defensive effort, conceding just twice. In contrast, the form of Bournemouth remains uncertain, with no recent data available to gauge their trajectory. However, their home form has been relatively strong this season, which could provide a boost in confidence.

Comparatively, Palace's away performance has been commendable, making them a formidable opponent on the road. The psychological aspect plays a significant role here; Palace arrives with high confidence, while Bournemouth may face doubts given their inconsistent performance without recent results to bolster their morale. This match could hinge on Palace's ability to maintain their current form against a Bournemouth side still looking to assert itself.


Upcoming Matches

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Sat 18 Apr at 14:00
Premier League
Newcastle
Away
Wed 22 Apr at 19:00
Premier League
Leeds
Home
Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

Thu 16 Apr at 19:00
UEFA Europa Con
Fiorentina
Away
⏳ Coming soon
Mon 20 Apr at 19:00
Premier League
West Ham
Home
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Complete Statistics

Current season — 32 matches played

● Bournemouth VS Crystal Palace ●
10
Wins
11
1.4
Points per Match
1.4
48
Goals scored
35
49
Goals conceded
36
1.5
Avg. goals scored/match
1.1
1.5
Avg. goals conceded/match
1.2
9
Clean sheets
11
-1
Goal difference
-1
📈 Evolution over the last 10 matches
⚽ Cumulative goals over the last 10 matches

Key Scorers: Bournemouth's attacking threat primarily comes from A. Semenyo and E. Kroupi, both netting 10 goals this season. Their contributions, while significant, indicate a reliance on these two players for goal-scoring, suggesting a potential vulnerability if either is marked out of the game. In contrast, Crystal Palace's J. Mateta matches this tally with 10 goals, serving as a consistent finisher but lacking in assists, indicating a more traditional striker role.

Offensive Dependency: With Semenyo and Kroupi accounting for 57% of Bournemouth’s total goals, any absence could heavily impact their scoring ability. In comparison, Palace's Mateta represents a similar dependency on individual brilliance without a diverse range of contributors.

Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS: Both teams exhibit a tendency for high-scoring encounters, suggesting a favorable scenario for over 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score (BTTS) bets. Bournemouth’s matches often see a flurry of goals, while Palace’s recent form supports this trend.

Discipline: Crystal Palace averages approximately 1.8 cards per match, reflecting an aggressive approach. They have received 2 red cards this season, indicating a level of indiscipline that could be exploited by opponents.

Currently, there are no significant injury concerns reported for either side, allowing their key players to feature in this crucial matchup.


Head to Head

17 recent matches

BOURNEMOUTH
4
24%
Draws
7
41%
CRYSTAL PALACE
6
35%
42 Total goals
2.5 Avg. goals/match
41% Both teams score
35% Over 2.5
18/10/2025
Crystal Palace
3 – 3
(0-2)
Bournemouth
NUL
19/04/2025
Crystal Palace
0 – 0
(0-0)
Bournemouth
NUL
26/12/2024
Bournemouth
0 – 0
(0-0)
Crystal Palace
NUL
02/04/2024
Bournemouth
1 – 0
(0-0)
Crystal Palace
✓ Bou
06/12/2023
Crystal Palace
0 – 2
(0-1)
Bournemouth
✓ Bou
13/05/2023
Crystal Palace
2 – 0
(1-0)
Bournemouth
✓ Cry
31/12/2022
Bournemouth
0 – 2
(0-2)
Crystal Palace
✓ Cry
20/06/2020
Bournemouth
0 – 2
(0-2)
Crystal Palace
✓ Cry
📊 Head-to-head analysis
Dominant team Many draws
Current streak 3 draws
Biggest win 0-2 (Bournemouth)
Recent trend Balanced

Evolution of the Rivalry: Historically, Crystal Palace has held a slight edge over Bournemouth, winning two of their last five encounters. However, the recent trend indicates a more competitive landscape, with Bournemouth having secured victories in the two matchups prior to the last three. This suggests that while Palace may have a historical advantage, Bournemouth is not easily intimidated.

Score Patterns: The encounters have predominantly been tight affairs, with multiple draws and low-scoring matches like the recent 0-0 results. However, the thrilling 3-3 draw indicates that when both teams push for goals, they can deliver high-scoring drama.

Home Factor: Crystal Palace's home advantage appears significant, with a win and a draw against Bournemouth at Selhurst Park. This could play a crucial role in upcoming fixtures.

Psychological Impact: Bournemouth may feel a psychological burden given their inability to secure a win against Palace in their recent meetings, potentially giving the latter a mental edge.

Betting Value: Given the tight score patterns and occasional high-scoring matches, exploring Over 2.5 goals might yield value if the odds are favorable.



Crystal Palace wins, largely due to their formidable home advantage at Selhurst Park, where they historically perform well. Additionally, the team's offensive capabilities, highlighted by their recent high-scoring draw against Bournemouth, suggest they can break through the opposition's defence.

In terms of a secondary prediction, both teams to score (BTTS) is a strong possibility. With both teams showcasing attacking threats in recent encounters, including a 3-3 draw, the likelihood of goals at both ends seems high.

A potential value bet could be on Crystal Palace to win by a margin of one goal, which may offer appealing odds given their home form and Bournemouth's recent defensive solidity. The odds currently may be underpriced considering Palace's strong home performances versus Bournemouth's fluctuating results.

This match poses a warning for punters, as it could be a trap game; both teams have shown inconsistency, and the pressure of the derby might affect performance. Therefore, caution is advised.

For an exact score prediction, I suggest 2-1 in favour of Crystal Palace. This score reflects their home advantage and ability to score while also accounting for Bournemouth's capability to find the net.



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