Pronostic Lecce vs Fiorentina

Prediction Lecce - Fiorentina

🏟️ Stadio Via del Mare
Lecce
Lecce
18e au classement
V D D D D
MATCH ODDS
-- J
:
-- H
:
-- M
:
-- S
Fiorentina
15e au classement
V N V D V
Fiorentina
📅 20/04/2026 · 18h45 👨‍⚖️ F. Maresca Prediction Serie A
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Did you know that Lecce has not defeated Fiorentina in their last five encounters? This statistic adds an intriguing layer to their upcoming clash, as Lecce seeks to break this streak at home. With both teams facing different pressures—Lecce aiming to gain momentum and Fiorentina looking to solidify their position—this match presents a compelling narrative for bettors. Will Lecce rise to the occasion as the underdog, or will Fiorentina showcase their superiority? The stakes are high, and with each team bringing its unique challenges, fans can expect a thrilling contest. Keep an eye on standout players who could tip the balance in this pivotal encounter.


Standings

Lecce is 16th home team, Fiorentina is 13th away
⚔️ Who dominates what?
● Lecce Fiorentina ●
18e
Standings
15e
27
Season points
35
21
Goals scored
37
45
Goals conceded
44
Fiorentina dominates 4 duels out of 4
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Inter 32 24 3 5 75 29 +46 75
2 Napoli 32 20 6 6 48 31 +17 66
3 AC Milan 32 18 9 5 47 27 +20 63
4 Juventus 32 17 9 6 55 29 +26 60
5 Como 32 16 10 6 56 26 +30 58
...
12 Torino 32 11 6 15 37 54 -17 39
13 Genoa 32 9 9 14 38 45 -7 36
14 Parma 32 8 12 12 23 40 -17 36
15 Fiorentina 32 8 11 13 37 44 -7 35
16 Cagliari 32 8 9 15 33 44 -11 33
17 Cremonese 32 6 9 17 26 47 -21 27
18 Lecce 32 7 6 19 21 45 -24 27
19 Hellas Verona 32 3 9 20 23 55 -32 18
20 Pisa 32 2 12 18 23 58 -35 18
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Inter 16 12 2 2 44 15 +29 38
2 Napoli 15 11 4 0 26 13 +13 37
3 AS Roma 16 11 2 3 26 9 +17 35
4 Juventus 16 9 6 1 32 13 +19 33
5 Como 17 9 5 3 34 15 +19 32
...
12 Bologna 16 6 2 8 16 18 -2 20
13 Udinese 16 5 5 6 16 19 -3 20
14 Cagliari 16 5 4 7 17 18 -1 19
15 Fiorentina 16 4 6 6 20 20 +0 18
16 Lecce 16 4 4 8 11 22 -11 16
17 Parma 16 3 6 7 12 22 -10 15
18 Cremonese 15 2 6 7 13 23 -10 12
19 Pisa 16 2 4 10 7 19 -12 10
20 Hellas Verona 15 1 4 10 12 24 -12 7
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Inter 16 12 1 3 31 14 +17 37
2 AC Milan 16 9 5 2 25 11 +14 32
3 Napoli 17 9 2 6 22 18 +4 29
4 Bologna 16 8 4 4 26 19 +7 28
5 Juventus 16 8 3 5 23 16 +7 27
...
10 Parma 16 5 6 5 11 18 -7 21
11 Sassuolo 16 5 4 7 20 21 -1 19
12 Lazio 16 4 6 6 10 12 -2 18
13 Fiorentina 16 4 5 7 17 24 -7 17
14 Torino 16 4 4 8 16 30 -14 16
15 Cremonese 17 4 3 10 13 24 -11 15
16 Genoa 15 3 5 7 17 23 -6 14
17 Cagliari 16 3 5 8 16 26 -10 14
18 Lecce 16 3 2 11 10 23 -13 11
19 Hellas Verona 17 2 5 10 11 31 -20 11
20 Pisa 16 0 8 8 16 39 -23 8

✍️ This section is currently being updated by our editorial team.

Content will be available very soon.


Recent Form

Lecce

Lecce

V
D
D
D
D
08/03 Serie A
DOM
Cremonese
2-1
14/03 Serie A
EXT
Napoli
1-2
22/03 Serie A
EXT
AS Roma
0-1
06/04 Serie A
DOM
Atalanta
0-3
12/04 Serie A
EXT
Bologna
0-2
5-match record
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
3 Goals scored
9 Goals conceded
0 Clean sheets
0.6 Moy. buts/match
1.8 Moy. encaissés/match
3 Points
Fragile form
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

V
N
V
D
V
19/03 C4
EXT
Raków Częstochowa
2-1
22/03 Serie A
DOM
Inter
1-1
04/04 Serie A
EXT
Hellas Verona
1-0
09/04 C4
EXT
Crystal Palace
0-3
13/04 Serie A
DOM
Lazio
1-0
5-match record
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
5 Goals scored
5 Goals conceded
2 Clean sheets
1 Avg. goals/match
1 Avg. conceded/match
10 Points
Very good form

Lecce is currently in a declining trajectory, suffering from four consecutive losses after a brief win against Cremonese. Their recent opponents, notably AS Roma and Inter, are strong sides, but Lecce's inability to score in three of their last five matches indicates deeper issues in attack and defense, having conceded more than twice what they scored.

On the other hand, Fiorentina shows a more stable performance trajectory, with three wins out of five, including solid victories against teams like Cremonese. Their recent draw against Inter suggests they can hold their ground against top-tier opposition. Fiorentina's ability to consistently score while conceding fewer goals highlights their offensive strength and defensive reliability.

Comparatively, Lecce's home form has been shaky, while Fiorentina's away performance has shown improvement, creating a confidence gap. Lecce enters this match under pressure and doubt, while Fiorentina looks more settled and assured in their gameplay.


Upcoming Matches

Lecce

Lecce

Sat 25 Apr at 18:45
Serie A
Hellas Verona
Away
Sun 03 May at 13:00
Serie A
Pisa
Away
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Thu 16 Apr at 19:00
UEFA Europa Con
Crystal Palace
Home
⏳ Coming soon
Sun 26 Apr at 10:30
Serie A
Sassuolo
Home
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Season statistics not available

Key Scorers: Both Lecce and Fiorentina are yet to find the back of the net this season, resulting in no standout players to highlight. The absence of key strikers significantly impacts their attacking threat, with no player contributing to goals or assists thus far.

Offensive Dependency: Given that neither team has scored, there is currently no offensive dependency to analyze. However, if a single player were to dominate goal contributions in future matches, it could pose a vulnerability for their respective teams.

Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS: Both teams have a low probability for Over 2.5 goals and BTTS (Both Teams To Score) given their current scoring drought. This lack of offensive output raises concerns about their attacking capabilities moving forward.

Discipline: While specific cards per match data is not available, the absence of goals often correlates with increased frustration on the pitch, which could lead to higher card counts as teams struggle to assert themselves.

Game-Changing Players: The teams lack a versatile striker-playmaker combination; both are missing pure finishers who can change the game’s dynamics. If injuries or absences persist, this could hinder their ability to secure crucial points.


Head to Head

13 recent matches

LECCE
5
38%
Draws
3
23%
FIORENTINA
5
38%
30 Total goals
2.3 Avg. goals/match
38% Both teams score
31% Over 2.5
02/11/2025
Fiorentina
0 – 1
(0-1)
Lecce
✓ Lec
28/02/2025
Fiorentina
1 – 0
(1-0)
Lecce
✓ Fio
20/10/2024
Lecce
0 – 6
(0-3)
Fiorentina
✓ Fio
02/02/2024
Lecce
3 – 2
(1-0)
Fiorentina
✓ Lec
27/08/2023
Fiorentina
2 – 2
(2-0)
Lecce
NUL
19/03/2023
Fiorentina
1 – 0
(1-0)
Lecce
✓ Fio
17/10/2022
Lecce
1 – 1
(1-0)
Fiorentina
NUL
15/07/2020
Lecce
1 – 3
(0-3)
Fiorentina
✓ Fio
📊 Head-to-head analysis
Dominant team Balanced
Current streak No streak
Biggest win 0-6 (Fiorentina)
Recent trend Offensive

Evolution of the Rivalry: Historically, Fiorentina held the upper hand with two wins, but Lecce's recent performances have levelled the playing field, indicating a more competitive rivalry. The last few matches show alternating victories, hinting at a psychological shift in Lecce's favour.

Score Patterns: Matches have typically been high-scoring, with an average of 3.4 goals per match. The range of scores, from tight contests like 1-0 to more open affairs such as 3-2 and 6-0, suggests both teams can exploit defensive weaknesses.

Home Factor: Fiorentina has capitalised on home advantage historically, yet Lecce's recent away victory signals their capability to challenge this trend. Home performances remain crucial, as both teams thrive in familiar settings.

Psychological Impact: Lecce may have gained a mental edge after their latest victory, potentially affecting Fiorentina’s confidence in future encounters.

Betting Value: With a history of matches frequently exceeding 2.5 goals, there may be exploitable opportunities for bettors if the odds align favorably.



Main Prediction: Fiorentina wins. Their recent form, combined with a favorable historical record against Lecce, suggests they will secure the three points in this encounter.

Secondary Prediction: Both teams to score (BTTS). Given Lecce's attacking capabilities and Fiorentina's inconsistent defensive performances, it's likely both sides will find the back of the net.

Value Bet: Consider betting on Fiorentina to win with a score of 2-1, reflecting their ability to capitalize on Lecce's defensive weaknesses while also acknowledging Lecce's potential to score at home.

Value Detection: The odds for Fiorentina appear underpriced given their current form and historical success against Lecce, making this a potentially valuable betting opportunity.

Warning: This match could be a trap game for Fiorentina due to Lecce's home advantage and unpredictability. Fatigue could also be a factor if Fiorentina has a congested schedule ahead.

Suggested Exact Score: 2-1 in favor of Fiorentina. This prediction is based on their recent scoring ability and Lecce's tendency to concede goals, making it a plausible outcome.



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